Why it might work
Independent sector confirmation may distinguish broad technology strength from narrow leadership.
Leveraged ETF research · Research strategy
T16 · Sector confirmation sizing
Sizes TECL based on whether semiconductor and software funds confirm the technology trend. The final study did not qualify this rule for selection.
TECL held or settled cash; XLK and other ETFs used only for signalsWeeklyLeveraged TECL fund; portfolio target at most 99%
The idea
How it works
Sizes TECL based on whether semiconductor and software funds confirm the technology trend.
When it invests
At weekly review, target 49.5%, 74.25%, or 99% TECL according to SMH and IGV confirmation while XLK is above its 200-day average.
When it exits
Exit daily when XLK closes below its 200-day average.
What can go wrong
- TECL is leveraged and can lose value quickly, including while an exit signal waits for its next execution window.
- This candidate failed the study's qualification gates despite its simulated return.
Selected research result
T16 base-cost historical backtest
T16 produced a simulated historical return, but failed the finalized study's qualification gates. The result is research evidence, not an approved trading strategy.
Research history
Variants and recorded runs
Repeated and diagnostic runs remain accessible under their tested variant. No run is selected by highest return.
Continuous-Base1 result
T16 base-cost historical backtest
T16 produced a simulated historical return, but failed the finalized study's qualification gates. The result is research evidence, not an approved trading strategy.
Read result