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Leveraged ETF research · Research strategy

T20 · Four-rule ensemble

Combines four independently tracked TECL rules in one shared-cash portfolio. The final study did not qualify this rule for selection.

TECL held or settled cash; XLK and other ETFs used only for signalsDailyLeveraged TECL fund; portfolio target at most 99%

The idea

How it works

Combines four independently tracked TECL rules in one shared-cash portfolio.

Why it might work

Different trend, growth, confirmation, and ratchet rules may contribute at different times.

When it invests

Allocate equal component budgets to T02, T06, T16, and T19; each enters under its own frozen rule.

When it exits

Each component exits or reduces under its own rule, with shared cash and internal ownership reconciliation.

What can go wrong

  • TECL is leveraged and can lose value quickly, including while an exit signal waits for its next execution window.
  • This candidate failed the study's qualification gates despite its simulated return.

Selected research result

T20 base-cost historical backtest

T20 produced a simulated historical return, but failed the finalized study's qualification gates. The result is research evidence, not an approved trading strategy.

Total return1,095.5%Change in simulated portfolio value over the test.
Annualized return29.1%Yearly compounded return; shown only when supported.
Worst drawdown54.6%Largest fall from an earlier portfolio high.
Sharpe ratio0.82Return relative to variability, under the source study's definition.
Trades128Completed simulated trades, when reported.

Read assumptions and limitations →

Research history

Variants and recorded runs

Repeated and diagnostic runs remain accessible under their tested variant. No run is selected by highest return.

Continuous-Base1 result
Historical study

T20 base-cost historical backtest

T20 produced a simulated historical return, but failed the finalized study's qualification gates. The result is research evidence, not an approved trading strategy.

Archived 2026-09-23Total return: 1,095.5%
Read result