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Leveraged ETF research · Research strategy

T17 · Cross-ETF confirmation

Counts trend confirmations across technology, broad growth, semiconductor, and software ETFs. The final study did not qualify this rule for selection.

TECL held or settled cash; XLK and other ETFs used only for signalsWeeklyLeveraged TECL fund; portfolio target at most 99%

The idea

How it works

Counts trend confirmations across technology, broad growth, semiconductor, and software ETFs.

Why it might work

Broad confirmation may support a stronger trend than a single-fund signal.

When it invests

At weekly review, hold up to 99% TECL when at least four of five signals qualify, half size with three, otherwise cash.

When it exits

Exit daily below the XLK 200-day average.

What can go wrong

  • TECL is leveraged and can lose value quickly, including while an exit signal waits for its next execution window.
  • This candidate failed the study's qualification gates despite its simulated return.

Selected research result

T17 base-cost historical backtest

T17 produced a simulated historical return, but failed the finalized study's qualification gates. The result is research evidence, not an approved trading strategy.

Total return1,143.5%Change in simulated portfolio value over the test.
Annualized return29.7%Yearly compounded return; shown only when supported.
Worst drawdown70.8%Largest fall from an earlier portfolio high.
Sharpe ratio0.78Return relative to variability, under the source study's definition.
Trades23Completed simulated trades, when reported.

Read assumptions and limitations →

Research history

Variants and recorded runs

Repeated and diagnostic runs remain accessible under their tested variant. No run is selected by highest return.

Continuous-Base1 result
Historical study

T17 base-cost historical backtest

T17 produced a simulated historical return, but failed the finalized study's qualification gates. The result is research evidence, not an approved trading strategy.

Archived 2026-09-23Total return: 1,143.5%
Read result