Why it might work
Technology leadership versus the market may support leveraged technology exposure.
Leveraged ETF research · Research strategy
T15 · Technology versus market trend
Uses XLK's strength relative to the broad market to decide whether to hold TECL. The final study did not qualify this rule for selection.
TECL held or settled cash; XLK and other ETFs used only for signalsWeeklyLeveraged TECL fund; portfolio target at most 99%
The idea
How it works
Uses XLK's strength relative to the broad market to decide whether to hold TECL.
When it invests
At weekly review, target 99% TECL when XLK is above its 200-day average and its ratio to SPY is trending upward with positive recent relative return.
When it exits
Exit daily below the XLK 100-day average or set cash at weekly review when relative strength fails.
What can go wrong
- TECL is leveraged and can lose value quickly, including while an exit signal waits for its next execution window.
- This candidate failed the study's qualification gates despite its simulated return.
Selected research result
T15 base-cost historical backtest
T15 produced a simulated historical return, but failed the finalized study's qualification gates. The result is research evidence, not an approved trading strategy.
Research history
Variants and recorded runs
Repeated and diagnostic runs remain accessible under their tested variant. No run is selected by highest return.
Continuous-Base1 result
T15 base-cost historical backtest
T15 produced a simulated historical return, but failed the finalized study's qualification gates. The result is research evidence, not an approved trading strategy.
Read result