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Leveraged ETF research · Research strategy

T11 · Short oversold rebound

Buys a short oversold XLK reading only while its longer trend remains positive. The final study did not qualify this rule for selection.

TECL held or settled cash; XLK and other ETFs used only for signalsDailyLeveraged TECL fund; portfolio target at most 99%

The idea

How it works

Buys a short oversold XLK reading only while its longer trend remains positive.

Why it might work

Brief pullbacks in an established technology uptrend may rebound.

When it invests

Enter up to 99% TECL when XLK is above its 200-day average, its 50-day average is higher, and two-day RSI is low.

When it exits

Exit on high RSI, a close below the XLK 100-day average, or five holding sessions.

What can go wrong

  • TECL is leveraged and can lose value quickly, including while an exit signal waits for its next execution window.
  • This candidate failed the study's qualification gates despite its simulated return.

Selected research result

T11 base-cost historical backtest

T11 produced a simulated historical return, but failed the finalized study's qualification gates. The result is research evidence, not an approved trading strategy.

Total return-23.0%Change in simulated portfolio value over the test.
Annualized return-2.7%Yearly compounded return; shown only when supported.
Worst drawdown69.9%Largest fall from an earlier portfolio high.
Sharpe ratio-0.01Return relative to variability, under the source study's definition.
Trades74Completed simulated trades, when reported.

Read assumptions and limitations →

Research history

Variants and recorded runs

Repeated and diagnostic runs remain accessible under their tested variant. No run is selected by highest return.

Continuous-Base1 result
Historical study

T11 base-cost historical backtest

T11 produced a simulated historical return, but failed the finalized study's qualification gates. The result is research evidence, not an approved trading strategy.

Archived 2026-09-23Total return: -23.0%
Read result