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Leveraged ETF research · Research strategy

T10 · Shock exit and recovery

Combines a long-trend TECL position with rapid exits after sharp XLK losses and a staged recovery entry. The final study did not qualify this rule for selection.

TECL held or settled cash; XLK and other ETFs used only for signalsDailyLeveraged TECL fund; portfolio target at most 99%

The idea

How it works

Combines a long-trend TECL position with rapid exits after sharp XLK losses and a staged recovery entry.

Why it might work

A fast shock brake may reduce exposure before a slow trend filter reacts.

When it invests

Enter up to 99% TECL in a healthy XLK trend; after a shock and cooldown, re-enter at 49.5% or 99% depending on recovery confirmation.

When it exits

Exit on a sharp one- or five-day XLK loss, a large opening gap, or a broken trend; a recovery sleeve has a faster 100-day trend exit.

What can go wrong

  • TECL is leveraged and can lose value quickly, including while an exit signal waits for its next execution window.
  • This candidate failed the study's qualification gates despite its simulated return.

Selected research result

T10 base-cost historical backtest

T10 produced a simulated historical return, but failed the finalized study's qualification gates. The result is research evidence, not an approved trading strategy.

Total return5,510.2%Change in simulated portfolio value over the test.
Annualized return51.4%Yearly compounded return; shown only when supported.
Worst drawdown57.8%Largest fall from an earlier portfolio high.
Sharpe ratio1.07Return relative to variability, under the source study's definition.
Trades26Completed simulated trades, when reported.

Read assumptions and limitations →

Research history

Variants and recorded runs

Repeated and diagnostic runs remain accessible under their tested variant. No run is selected by highest return.

Continuous-Base1 result
Historical study

T10 base-cost historical backtest

T10 produced a simulated historical return, but failed the finalized study's qualification gates. The result is research evidence, not an approved trading strategy.

Archived 2026-09-23Total return: 5,510.2%
Read result