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Leveraged ETF research · Research strategy

T06 · Weekly growth and drag

Reviews a technology growth-versus-drag score weekly to choose cash, half, or nearly full TECL exposure. The final study did not qualify this rule for selection.

TECL held or settled cash; XLK and other ETFs used only for signalsWeeklyLeveraged TECL fund; portfolio target at most 99%

The idea

How it works

Reviews a technology growth-versus-drag score weekly to choose cash, half, or nearly full TECL exposure.

Why it might work

A positive growth score may support larger exposure when the long trend is healthy.

When it invests

When XLK is above its 200-day average, target 99% TECL for a strong score and 49.5% for a modest positive score.

When it exits

Target cash for a nonpositive weekly score, or exit daily when XLK falls below its 200-day average.

What can go wrong

  • TECL is leveraged and can lose value quickly, including while an exit signal waits for its next execution window.
  • This candidate failed the study's qualification gates despite its simulated return.

Selected research result

T06 base-cost historical backtest

T06 produced a simulated historical return, but failed the finalized study's qualification gates. The result is research evidence, not an approved trading strategy.

Total return496.8%Change in simulated portfolio value over the test.
Annualized return20.2%Yearly compounded return; shown only when supported.
Worst drawdown70.9%Largest fall from an earlier portfolio high.
Sharpe ratio0.62Return relative to variability, under the source study's definition.
Trades22Completed simulated trades, when reported.

Read assumptions and limitations →

Research history

Variants and recorded runs

Repeated and diagnostic runs remain accessible under their tested variant. No run is selected by highest return.

Continuous-Base1 result
Historical study

T06 base-cost historical backtest

T06 produced a simulated historical return, but failed the finalized study's qualification gates. The result is research evidence, not an approved trading strategy.

Archived 2026-09-23Total return: 496.8%
Read result