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T05 · Weekly trend votes

Reviews three XLK trend votes weekly and scales TECL exposure in thirds, with a daily risk exit. The final study did not qualify this rule for selection.

TECL held or settled cash; XLK and other ETFs used only for signalsWeeklyLeveraged TECL fund; portfolio target at most 99%

The idea

How it works

Reviews three XLK trend votes weekly and scales TECL exposure in thirds, with a daily risk exit.

Why it might work

Multiple trend signals may distinguish weak from broad momentum.

When it invests

At weekly review, target cash, one-third, two-thirds, or 99% TECL according to the number of positive votes.

When it exits

Exit daily if XLK is below its 200-day average and its 21-day return is negative.

What can go wrong

  • TECL is leveraged and can lose value quickly, including while an exit signal waits for its next execution window.
  • This candidate failed the study's qualification gates despite its simulated return.

Selected research result

T05 base-cost historical backtest

T05 produced a simulated historical return, but failed the finalized study's qualification gates. The result is research evidence, not an approved trading strategy.

Total return5,145.6%Change in simulated portfolio value over the test.
Annualized return50.4%Yearly compounded return; shown only when supported.
Worst drawdown49.6%Largest fall from an earlier portfolio high.
Sharpe ratio1.08Return relative to variability, under the source study's definition.
Trades16Completed simulated trades, when reported.

Read assumptions and limitations →

Research history

Variants and recorded runs

Repeated and diagnostic runs remain accessible under their tested variant. No run is selected by highest return.

Continuous-Base1 result
Historical study

T05 base-cost historical backtest

T05 produced a simulated historical return, but failed the finalized study's qualification gates. The result is research evidence, not an approved trading strategy.

Archived 2026-09-23Total return: 5,145.6%
Read result