Why it might work
An adaptive average may follow a sustained trend while responding to changing conditions.
Leveraged ETF research · Research strategy
T03 · Adaptive technology trend
Uses XLK's adaptive moving average and its slope to decide when to hold TECL. The final study did not qualify this rule for selection.
TECL held or settled cash; XLK and other ETFs used only for signalsDailyLeveraged TECL fund; portfolio target at most 99%
The idea
How it works
Uses XLK's adaptive moving average and its slope to decide when to hold TECL.
When it invests
Target 99% TECL when XLK closes above a rising adaptive moving average.
When it exits
Move to cash after two held closes below the adaptive average.
What can go wrong
- TECL is leveraged and can lose value quickly, including while an exit signal waits for its next execution window.
- This candidate failed the study's qualification gates despite its simulated return.
Selected research result
T03 base-cost historical backtest
T03 produced a simulated historical return, but failed the finalized study's qualification gates. The result is research evidence, not an approved trading strategy.
Research history
Variants and recorded runs
Repeated and diagnostic runs remain accessible under their tested variant. No run is selected by highest return.
Continuous-Base1 result
T03 base-cost historical backtest
T03 produced a simulated historical return, but failed the finalized study's qualification gates. The result is research evidence, not an approved trading strategy.
Read result