Why it might work
Gradual entry may reduce exposure to a failed rebound while preserving upside after confirmation.
Leveraged ETF research · Research strategy
T02 · Fast technology recovery
Starts with half-sized TECL during an XLK recovery, then increases exposure after confirmation while held. The final study did not qualify this rule for selection.
TECL held or settled cash; XLK and other ETFs used only for signalsDailyLeveraged TECL fund; portfolio target at most 99%
The idea
How it works
Starts with half-sized TECL during an XLK recovery, then increases exposure after confirmation while held.
When it invests
Target 49.5% TECL when XLK is above its 200-day average and 20-day exponential average with positive five-day return; increase to 99% after three qualifying held closes.
When it exits
Exit on a close below the 200-day average, or below the 20-day exponential average with five-day return under -3%.
What can go wrong
- TECL is leveraged and can lose value quickly, including while an exit signal waits for its next execution window.
- This candidate failed the study's qualification gates despite its simulated return.
Selected research result
T02 base-cost historical backtest
T02 produced a simulated historical return, but failed the finalized study's qualification gates. The result is research evidence, not an approved trading strategy.
Research history
Variants and recorded runs
Repeated and diagnostic runs remain accessible under their tested variant. No run is selected by highest return.
Continuous-Base1 result
T02 base-cost historical backtest
T02 produced a simulated historical return, but failed the finalized study's qualification gates. The result is research evidence, not an approved trading strategy.
Read result