Why it might work
A broad core may retain market participation while a breakout sleeve captures sector leadership.
ETF baseline rules · Research strategy
S08 · Broad core with breakout sleeve
Keeps a QQQM core in an uptrend and adds a smaller semiconductor breakout sleeve.
QQQM with SMH or SOXX, and settled cashDailyUnleveraged ETF exposure
The idea
How it works
Keeps a QQQM core in an uptrend and adds a smaller semiconductor breakout sleeve.
When it invests
Hold up to 59.4% QQQM above its long trend; add up to 39.6% semiconductor exposure after a 20-day breakout and relative strength.
When it exits
Exit QQQM below its 200-day average; exit the sector sleeve below its 20-day average or after thirty sessions.
What can go wrong
- Historical signals can reverse before a delayed order fills.
- Sector concentration and trend reversals can cause substantial losses.
Selected research result
S08 · QQQM + SMH · v3 base backtest
S08 on QQQM + SMH passed the repaired v3 study's historical qualification gates. This is a simulated research result, not live or paper authorization.
Research history
Variants and recorded runs
Repeated and diagnostic runs remain accessible under their tested variant. No run is selected by highest return.
QQQM SMH5 results
S08 · QQQM + SMH · v1 continuous backtest
This is the original v1 continuous simulation for S08 on QQQM + SMH. It remains accessible as research history; the later repaired v3 run is a separate result.
Read resultS08 · QQQM + SMH · v1 development backtest
This is the original v1 development simulation for S08 on QQQM + SMH. It remains accessible as research history; the later repaired v3 run is a separate result.
Read resultS08 · QQQM + SMH · v1 holdout backtest
This is the original v1 holdout simulation for S08 on QQQM + SMH. It remains accessible as research history; the later repaired v3 run is a separate result.
Read resultS08 · QQQM + SMH · v1 validation backtest
This is the original v1 validation simulation for S08 on QQQM + SMH. It remains accessible as research history; the later repaired v3 run is a separate result.
Read resultS08 · QQQM + SMH · v3 base backtest
S08 on QQQM + SMH passed the repaired v3 study's historical qualification gates. This is a simulated research result, not live or paper authorization.
Read resultQQQM SOXX5 results
S08 · QQQM + SOXX · v1 continuous backtest
This is the original v1 continuous simulation for S08 on QQQM + SOXX. It remains accessible as research history; the later repaired v3 run is a separate result.
Read resultS08 · QQQM + SOXX · v1 development backtest
This is the original v1 development simulation for S08 on QQQM + SOXX. It remains accessible as research history; the later repaired v3 run is a separate result.
Read resultS08 · QQQM + SOXX · v1 holdout backtest
This is the original v1 holdout simulation for S08 on QQQM + SOXX. It remains accessible as research history; the later repaired v3 run is a separate result.
Read resultS08 · QQQM + SOXX · v1 validation backtest
This is the original v1 validation simulation for S08 on QQQM + SOXX. It remains accessible as research history; the later repaired v3 run is a separate result.
Read resultS08 · QQQM + SOXX · v3 base backtest
S08 on QQQM + SOXX passed the repaired v3 study's historical qualification gates. This is a simulated research result, not live or paper authorization.
Read result